The Geek’s Royal Ascot Tips – Day One
ITV are kindly showing all races from the five-day Royal Ascot Meeting this week, and The Geek will be bringing you analysis and tips for all the best of the action.
Queen Anne Stakes, 2.30
It’s always hard to equate English and American turf form, but American horses have won plenty of races at Royal Ascot in the last few seasons. Tepin won the 2016 renewal of this race and Yoshida could be decent value to follow in that one’s footsteps. The four-year-old seems to be improving and has already shown he handles fast turf well with three wins and three seconds from six runs under similar conditions in America. The home contingent also seems to be lacking a real star this year, so they could be vulnerable.
Yoshida (each-way) @ 15.00 WilliamHill
Coventry Stakes, Royal Ascot, 3.05
John Gosden has never been a trainer who rushes his horses, so it’s interesting he’s choosing to pitch his once-raced Calyx into this acid-test so early in his career. However, he could hardly have been more impressive when bolting up on debut. His draw in stall-2 is a bit of a concern, especially with his main market rival Sergei Prokofiev drawn on the other side of the track in stall 4, but he’s the eyecatcher in this field.
Calyx @ 3.50 WilliamHill
King’s Stand Stakes, 3.40
Lady Aurelia and Battaash are a few lengths clear of their rivals on the book and, if they both run up to form, those betting on the reverse-forecast should collect. However, there has to be a slight doubt as to about Battaash giving his best running at Royal Ascot. That’s because he ran below expectations when he got excited at York last season and flopped as a two-year-old at this meeting. Therefore, I’d sooner take a chance that Lady Aurelia can make it a hat-trick of wins at Royal Ascot after winning by 7-lengths and 3-lengths in 2016 and 2017.
Lady Aurelia @ 2.75 WilliamHill
St James’s Palace Stakes, 4.20
Tip Two Win and Romanised have both improved for the step-up to a mile recently and it will be interesting to see how the English 2,000 Guineas runner-up and the Irish 2,000 Guineas winner fare here. Tip Two Win finished in front of the subsequent Derby winner Masar at Newmarket, but actually beat Gustav Klimt by less than Romanised did at the Curragh. Either could be good enough, but the vibes are that John Gosden thinks Without Parole would have won the English 2,000 Guineas and he can improve past his higher-rated rivals.
Without Parole win @ 4.00 WilliamHill