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The Geek’s LeoVegas Horse Racing Tips

It’s Derby day on Saturday and, with ITV showing five races including The Derby, The Geek has five tips for you.

Epsom 2.00

Seven of the last 10 runnings of the Investec Private Banking Handicap have gone to horses rated between 82 and 89. That may point to the chances of Ship Of The Fen who went up 6lb to a mark of 87 for his win at Doncaster last time. That was his first run at 10-furlongs and, as that win came on soft ground, conditions should again be perfect for him.
Ship Of The Fen @ 6.00 with LeoVegas

Epsom 2.35

This year’s renewal of the Group 3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes looks a tricky affair, with the prospect of soft ground an unknown for several of these fillies and mares. Therefore, it may be worth taking a punt on the lightly-raced Stage Name who won on the all-weather last time. However, the reason why she might take a big-step forward today is her sire Famous Name excelled on soft ground and this is the first time she will have encountered it. The booking of Silvestre De Sousa also catches the eye as he’s ridden two of the last three winners.
Stage Name @ 9.00 with LeoVegas

Epsom 3.10

The last two winners of the Group 3 Diomed Stakes do battle again, but the recent rain may have scuppered the chances of Arod. Therefore, as Sovereign Debt is getting long in the tooth, this could well be fought out between two proven mudlarks in Breton Rock and Century Dream. Neither have raced at Epsom before but Breton Rocks should handle it after winning at Goodwood last season. He’s also a previous Group 2 winner for whom Ryan Moore has been booked to do the steering for the first time.
Breton Rock @ 6.00 with LeoVegas

Epsom 3.45

There are always some hard-luck stories in the Epsom Dash as it consists of a big-field on sprinters in one of the fastest races of the whole year. However, Dark Shot looks to have plenty in his favour as he bids to go one better than last year. He’s 1lb higher in the weights but jockey Jamie Gormley claims 5lb. He also looks better drawn this year in stall-19, which is expected to be an advantageous draw with the ground riding on the soft side.
Dark Shot @ 6.50 with LeoVegas

Epsom 4.30

Not many recent renewals of the Derby have been run on ground as soft as it is likely to be at the time of the big race, and the ground looks sure to place an emphasis on stamina in a race where few horses are proven at the trip. That’s certainly the case with the favourite Saxon Warrior and, though he could hose up on the form of his 2,000 Guineas win, he looks worth taking on at the prices. Hazapour could be the one to take him on with, as if he’s similar to his close relation the mud-loving Derby winner Harzand, he should relish the test.
Hazapour each-way @ 12.00 with LeoVegas