The Geek’s Grand National Day Three Tips
It’s Grand National Day at Aintree, and The Geek has a tip for the big race in a total of Five TV Tips on the third and final day of the 2018 Grand National Meeting.
On The Blind Side has already landed two big gambles this season and his trainer Nicky Henderson was all set to take on Samcro at Cheltenham until his rapidly improving 6-year-old suffered a slight setback. However, just like his stable mate We Have A Dream, on Tuesday, that means he comes here fresher than the likes of Black Op who ran at Cheltenham. He’s also proven himself at Aintree already and I’m expecting a big run for my money.
On The Blind Side win @ 3.00 Black Type
Petit Mouchoir was forced into an early battle for the lead at Cheltenham in the Arkle Chase and paid the price late on as he faded into third. However, he’s so much better than today’s rivals on paper that he should be able to boss them from the front whilst still being able to conserve enough energy to repel any challengers up the home straight. A former Irish Champion Hurdle winner, and third in last year’s Champion Hurdle, he really should be too good for the rest.
Petit Mouchoir win @ 1.57 Bet365, Unibet
Seven of the last eight winners of this race have been rated between 134 and 140 and On Tour fits nicely into that ratings bracket. A course winner earlier in the season on soft ground off a mark of 135, he returns on just a 2lb higher mark. The form of that race was also boosted when the second Master Dee won a big pot at Kempton in February.
On Tour each-way @ 15.00 SkyBet (5 places)
Sam Spinner disappointed when sent-off favourite for the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival but his jockey Joe Colliver didn’t seem to make the race enough of a stamina test. He looks unlikely to make that mistake again, whilst Sam Spinner look sure to be better suited by the flat-track and long straight, just as he was when making a mockery of a competitive handicap at Haydock earlier this season.
Sam Spinner win @ 2.50 Bet365 or Black Type
Buckle yourselves in for around 10 minutes for what could be a real war of attrition with the ground riding on the soft side. There doesn’t look to be too many guaranteed stayers in the line-up, whilst low-weights have enjoyed four successes in the last five runnings, including when the ground rode soft in 2016. Strangely, the meeting started with a winner for The Geek with We Have A Dream and he actually had a dream that Bryony Frost became the first lady rider to win the Grand National aboard Milansbar. However, there’s also plenty of actual reasons to think he can run a good race as he handles the ground and stays, whilst Bryony Frost has already showed she gets a great tune out of him with victory in Warwick’s Classic Chase in January.
Grand National Tip: Milansbar each-way @ 34.00 Betway (6 places)