Premier Football Picks
There are only two Premier League games that have any real significance on Sunday as Chelsea look to capitalise on last week’s win over Liverpool by stealing the fourth and final Champions League spot off a team that also has the option of qualifying for next season’s Champions League Competition by beating Real Madrid in this year’s Champions League Final. However, for Chelsea to qualify, Chelsea must beat Newcastle and Brighton must beat Liverpool.
Chelsea vs Newcastle (Sunday 3.00, Sky Sports)
Chelsea’s motivation is an obvious one with the chance to rescue what has been a below par season by qualifying for next season’s Champions League, which looked highly unlikely a few weeks ago. However, whilst Newcastle don’t have such a strong motivation, winning would ensure they receive a bigger share of the end-of-season Premier league pay-out. Currently tenth, defeat for Newcastle would give Crystal Palace, Bournemouth, Watford, Brighton, and West Ham the chance to overtake them. Antonio Conte will need little excuse to tell his Chelsea players that Chelsea have won their last three matches against Newcastle, leading in all three of them at half-time before winning those matches 3-0, 3-1, and 5-1. However, it’s worth noting that Chelsea had home-advantage in all those three matches. Rafa Benitez will surely have done his homework too, and he should also be quick to point out that Chelsea don’t usually play their best at St James’s Park where they have claimed just one point in their last four visits. That stat certainly suggests Newcastle shouldn’t be trading at anywhere near the odds they are and they could be worth a punt at the price.
Newcastle win @ 6.00 WilliamHill
Liverpool vs Brighton (Sunday 3.00)
Historically, Liverpool have an excellent record against Brighton having won seven and drawn three of their previous eleven games that span a period from 1979 to 2018. Brighton’s one win came with a 1-0 score-line, but the other matches between the two teams have tended to be high-scoring affairs with no less than 3 goals in them. Indeed, on five occasions there have been five goals or more, with Liverpool winning the last two matches 6-1 and 5-1, with that last result coming at Brighton earlier this season. A draw would be a good result for Liverpool but, surely Liverpool won’t want to tempt fate by playing for a draw, and they’ll surely try and put this match to bed early with a typical attacking display. Brighton, who could possible leapfrog four teams with a win, also surely won’t try and sneak a point, so a goal-fest is predicted. Therefore, it may be worth playing more than 4.5 goals and more than 5.5 goals.
More than 4.5 goals @ 3.60 Betfair
More than 5.5 goals @ 7.00 Betfair